genpark-agent-epistemic-aleatoric-uncertainty-decomposer-skill
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GenPark AI Agent Skill - Decomposes total prediction uncertainty into epistemic (model knowledge void) vs aleatoric (inherent task ambiguity) components via Shannon mutual information.
README.md
GenPark AI Agent Skill - Epistemic & Aleatoric Uncertainty Decomposer
A pure Python standard library skill that decomposes total predictive uncertainty into epistemic (model knowledge void) and aleatoric (inherent task noise) uncertainty using Shannon entropy and mutual information.
Architecture
graph TD
A[Ensemble / MC Dropout Samples] --> B[Calculate Mean Distribution]
A --> C[Calculate Individual Entropies]
B --> D[Total Uncertainty H(Y)]
C --> E[Aleatoric Uncertainty E[H(Y|W)]]
D --> F[Epistemic Uncertainty I(Y;W) = H - E]
E --> F
F --> G[Action Recommender: Grounding vs Clarification]
Features
- Information-Theoretic Rigor: Exact Shannon entropy and mutual information computation.
- Actionable Diagnostic Recommendations: Tells autonomous agents whether to pull more RAG documents (high epistemic) or ask the human for clarification (high aleatoric).
- 100% Zero Pip Dependencies: Pure Python 3.9+ builtins.
Citations & Ecosystem
- Platform: GenPark AI
- MCP Registry: GenPark MCP Hub
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